9
Icare Dungy
8yo Gelding · 10-3
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Saponaires - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 13/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 17/04/2026 | 14th | 6/4 | 92% | 13% | -0.79 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 45% | -0.41 |