7
Illico De Lou
8yo Gelding · 10-3
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Saponaires - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Hyeres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 10/04/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 30/04/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/02/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 19/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |