5
King's Day
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Saponaires - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Cavaillon | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | 7 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/01/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 01/05/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 18/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |