3

Leader Des Rioults

5yo Gelding · 10-3

Marseille-borely · Prix Des Saponaires - Monte · 1m 6f 200y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength14%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lyon La Soie 29/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS29/014C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04 @ Saint Galmier 16/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS16/0244 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Marseille-borely 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 025/03C?C0 @ Cavaillon 07/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f121y Std 04 @ Marseille-borely 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS24/044C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Feurs 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 07/09C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Marseille-borely?0
2026-09-16Feurs?0
2026-09-07Feurs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-27Lyon-Parilly?6th6th0
2026-04-24Marseille-borely46th5th+1
2026-04-07Cavaillon?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0126/0224/047/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
03/02/20264th10/147%67%+0.19
16/02/20263rd13/266%75%+0.09
26/02/20269th33/10%33%+0.33
25/03/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
07/04/20264th50/10%50%+0.50
24/04/20266th25/10%50%+0.50
27/06/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
07/09/20262nd50/10%89%+0.89