10
Nazzareno
3yo Colt · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 1 | +2 | ||
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-03 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-30 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 30/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |