11
Nectar Des Loyaux
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#8
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Saint Galmier | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |