4
Nice Paris
3yo Colt · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -14.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 22/09/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |