12
Nirvana D'hermes
3yo Colt · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Hyeres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |