14
Nixon De Blary
3yo Colt · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-09 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -14.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |