6
Noria De Bertrange
3yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#12
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Cavaillon | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength95%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 05/01/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |