5

Nottingham Royal
3yo Colt · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 78% | -0.16 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |