15
Macumba Desbois
4yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Lotus - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#5
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength5%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-25 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-04 | Saint Galmier | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Hyeres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Hyeres | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/07/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |