1
Matcho Meslois
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Lotus - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#15
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 18/10/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 03/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |