12
Mister Des Thuyas
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Lotus - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 28/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 05/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |