10
Lili Du Cherisay
5yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Camelias - Prix Geny Courses - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Chatelaillon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Pornichet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-17 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +16.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 93% | +0.04 |
| 26/11/2024 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/10/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |