1
Leloup Vallee
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Azalees - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hyeres | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 20/12/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 05/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.40 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 28/01/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 85% | +0.79 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |