4
Listao
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Azalees - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Marseille-borely | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-19 | Hyeres | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Hyeres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 05/01/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 03/06/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |