13
Lucky Red
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Azalees - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#7
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-17 | Cavaillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Toulouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-02-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-02-19 | Saint Galmier | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 12-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 27/02/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 27/03/2025 | 6th | 10/11 | 95% | 55% | -0.41 |
| 17/06/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 11/08/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 70% | -0.21 |