2
Lutin Quick
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Azalees - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
83%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Feurs | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 31/12/2024 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 27/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 05/01/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |