5
Luxor D'ecajeul
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Azalees - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 10/06/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 27/10/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 53% | +0.48 |
| 10/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.21 |
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 54% | -0.25 |
| 31/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 47% | +0.05 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |