4
Hatout De Connee
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Orchidees - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Marseille | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Marseille-borely | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Hyeres | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 21/02/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 04/03/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 01/05/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 07/05/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/09/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |