5

Icare De La Basle

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix Des Orchidees - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint Galmier 23/07/2024 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 023/07C?C0 @ Toulouse 28/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 20/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 020/11C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 09/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 19/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 019/02C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 18/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ Agen 31/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 031/05C?C0 @ Agen 03/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 06 @ Toulouse 26/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 026/036projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-26Toulouse68th8th0
2026-03-03Agen?11th11th0
2025-11-14Toulouse?0
2025-05-31Agen?11th11th0
2025-05-18Beaumont-De-Lomagne?2nd2nd0
2025-02-19Toulouse?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/079/0131/0526/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/202412th40/10%8%+0.08
28/10/20242nd16/116%93%+0.78
20/11/20242nd13/266%93%+0.28
09/01/20253rd5/174%85%+0.11
19/02/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
18/05/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
31/05/202511th13/266%29%-0.37
03/03/202611th11/142%23%-0.19
26/03/20268th66/10%53%+0.53