10
Jean D'hollenbourg
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Orchidees - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#1
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-16 | Feurs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-27 | Hyeres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 5 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2024 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/01/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 17/01/2025 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 36% | -0.48 |
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 29/08/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |