6

Jolie Mome Chic
7yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Orchidees - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.3
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Hyeres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | 7 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |
| 15/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |