8
Herode Du Corta
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Ursinias - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#5
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Cavaillon | 3 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 93% | +0.05 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 92% | +0.04 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 18/09/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |