12
Icare Du Beryl
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Ursinias - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#11
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Cavaillon | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Royan-La Palmyre | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Hyeres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 1 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 27/03/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 79% | +0.15 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 69% | -0.04 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |