1
Imperatrice Vitela
8yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Ursinias - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-10-27 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Marseille-borely | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 30/11/2024 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 11/07/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/08/2025 | 15th | 80/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 27/10/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |