9
Kingslayer Pellini
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Ursinias - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 1 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | 1 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 28/10/2025 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 31% | -0.24 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 13/8 | 91% | 22% | -0.69 |