9

Don't Do It
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 56
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2016 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 03/08/2016 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 09/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |