7
Backseat Romance
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 71
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/01/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 01/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |