5
Charlize Chub
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 51
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 19/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 23/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |