La Pluma
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 56
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-08-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 29% | -0.63 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |