8
Light De Night
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 77
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Meadowlands | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 28/09/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 25/09/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |