Rocky Colavito
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Lone Star | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-10 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 4/5 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 14/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |