Stinger Bee
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 66
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-06-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2024-04-26 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2024-03-23 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2024-01-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2023 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/11/2023 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 27/01/2024 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 23/03/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 26/04/2024 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 30/06/2024 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 23/11/2024 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 70% | -0.16 |