5
Dinah Myte
4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 55
Newcastle · Henry Malone 1926 Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 2f 42y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 29% | -0.61 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |