6
Gemini Man
8yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 54
Newcastle · Henry Malone 1926 Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 2f 42y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Newcastle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 25/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |