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Koko Blue

4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 60

Newcastle · Henry Malone 1926 Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 2f 42y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

79%

Place Prob

65%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a deserved first win of the season in emphatic style over C&D 30 days ago. Hiked up 8 lb but this reliable filly can go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Kempton 13/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 64 · 1m Sta 130 · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 64 par13/106OR 646 @ Kempton 03/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 62 · 1m3f219y Sta 132 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 62 par6 @ Lingfield 03/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 55 · 1m5f Std 131 · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 55 par3/126OR 556 @ Wolverhampton 15/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 55 · 2m120y Std 131 · beat its mark15/12/2025 · OR 55 par6 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 53 · 1m3f99y Goo 133 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 53 par7/056OR 536 @ Brighton 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 53 · 1m3f198y GF 133 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 53 · 1m4f14y Std 133 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 53 par23/076OR 536 @ Lingfield 04/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 53 · 1m3f133y GF 133 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 52 · 1m2f43y Std 132 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 52 par2/096OR 52projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Newcastle61st1st0
2026-08-04Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-07-23Southwell62nd2nd0
2026-06-21Brighton63rd3rd0
2026-05-07Windsor63rd3rd0
2025-12-15Wolverhampton610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1015/1223/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength90%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/202512th16/116%0%-0.16
03/11/20259th33/10%33%+0.33
03/12/20253rd16/116%80%+0.64
15/12/202510th20/10%18%+0.18
07/05/20263rd11/271%80%+0.09
21/06/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
23/07/20262nd9/153%88%+0.35
04/08/20263rd11/893%67%-0.26
02/09/20261st11/893%100%+0.07