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10

Rajawail

6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 45

Newcastle · Henry Malone 1926 Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 2f 42y

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Is 0-30 and tried in different headgear when last of 14 in handicap over C&D a week ago. Cheekpieces are retried now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Catterick 08/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m4f13y Goo 116 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 45 par8/046OR 456 @ Catterick 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m5f192y Goo 116 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m6y Goo 116 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 45 par29/046OR 456 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m100y Goo 121 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Beverley 27/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 45 · 1m4f23y Goo 122 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 45 par27/056OR 456 @ Beverley 16/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m1f207y Goo 126 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Carlisle 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 45 · 7f173y Goo 123 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 45 par11/086OR 456 @ Carlisle 19/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 45 · 6f195y Goo 124 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Newcastle 25/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m2f42y Std 124 · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 45 par25/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Newcastle614th14th0
2026-08-19Carlisle610th10th0
2026-08-11Carlisle67th7th0
2026-06-16Beverley610th10th0
2026-05-27Beverley66th6th0
2026-05-04Beverley610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/044/0511/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20268th125/10%0%0.00
22/04/20267th200/10%14%+0.14
29/04/20265th150/10%50%+0.50
04/05/202610th66/10%31%+0.31
27/05/20266th100/10%0%0.00
16/06/202610th80/10%0%0.00
11/08/20267th200/10%14%+0.14
19/08/202610th125/10%0%0.00
25/09/202614th300/10%0%0.00