Sandret
10yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 60
Newcastle · Henry Malone 1926 Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 2f 42y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Thirsk | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 23/09/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |