Aurora Valkyrie
2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 58
Newcastle · H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery · 7f 14y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Haydock | 3 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |