Claret Time
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 57
Newcastle · H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery · 7f 14y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Redcar | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |