
Kaiulani Spirit
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 51
Newcastle · H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery · 7f 14y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Catterick | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Leicester | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Carlisle | 3 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 13/08/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |