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3

Onslaught

2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 64

Newcastle · H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery · 7f 14y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cheekpieces on for the first time (retained) when a solid third of 10 in nursery at Redcar (6f, good to soft) 9 days ago. Not out of things on his tapeta debut as he aims for a first success at the seventh attempt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength96%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS21/0644 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f7y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS11/0744 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS26/0745 @ Carlisle 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 70 par11/085OR 702 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f6y Sft 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 67 par2/092OR 675 @ Redcar 23/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 64 · 5f217y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 64 par23/095OR 64projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Redcar53rd2nd+1
2026-09-02Hamilton25th0th+4
2026-08-11Carlisle55th4th+1
2026-07-26Pontefract43rd1st+2
2026-07-11Hamilton43rd1st+2
2026-06-21Pontefract46th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0611/0726/0711/082/0923/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
11/07/20263rd28/10%60%+0.60
26/07/20263rd13/266%60%-0.06
11/08/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
02/09/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
23/09/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15