7

Soldier's Echo

2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 56

Newcastle · H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery · 7f 14y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best effort when fourth on nursery debut at Catterick (6f) in August. Well backed but only eighth of 12 in similar company at Wolverhampton (7f) 2 weeks ago. Clearly thought capable of better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 01/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 5f160y Fm 127 · HIGHER CLASS1/0754 @ Chester 10/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f17y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0745 @ Beverley 20/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/0756 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 5f212y Goo 129 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 59 par17/086OR 596 @ Wolverhampton 18/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 57 · 7f36y Std 128 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 57 par18/096OR 57projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Wolverhampton68th8th0
2026-08-17Catterick64th4th0
2026-07-20Beverley56th5th+1
2026-07-10Chester49th7th+2
2026-07-01Bath57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0710/0720/0717/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%

Delivery trend -11.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
10/07/20269th40/10%27%+0.27
20/07/20266th40/10%50%+0.50
17/08/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
18/09/20268th4/179%36%-0.43