Son Of A Fish
2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 64
Newcastle · H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery · 7f 14y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Redcar | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 2 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 3 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 3 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |