8
Waiting For Archie
2yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 53
Newcastle · H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery · 7f 14y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 18/09/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |