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6

Walk In Provence

3yo Filly · 9-2

Newcastle · Aalberts Integrated Piping Systems Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 5y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel half-sister to 5f winner Correspondence who made a promising start when finding only one with prior experience too good in a Redcar maiden (1m) 23 days ago. Rates a likely improver with that under her belt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f219y Goo 1289/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20262nd17/255%88%+0.32