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11

Asheyra

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 80

Newcastle · Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dark Angel filly who was still green with a hood added but improved nevertheless when second of 4 in a class 2 Ascot maiden (6f) 4 weeks ago. A stronger pace would have helped then and she sets a good standard here with potential for better still.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength72%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS1/0832 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS5/092projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot22nd0th+2
2026-08-01Newmarket33rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -13.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20263rd7/163%67%+0.04
05/09/20262nd9/276%67%-0.10