4

Five Star George

2yo Colt · 9-7

Newcastle · Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off at long odds and well held in pair of maiden/novice events at up to 7f to date.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 14/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 13314/0844 @ Southwell 17/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f14y Std 13017/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Southwell48th8th0
2026-08-14Thirsk410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength50%

Delivery trend +20.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
17/09/20268th80/10%30%+0.30